The
deepening
political
instability
in
Somalia
is a
culmination
of the
rivalries,
power
struggles
and
personal
antagonisms
that
have
been
building
up in
the past
year or
so.
The
strain
between
President
Abdul
Yusuf
and
Prime
Minister
Ali
Mohamed
Gedi,
which
has
resulted
in the
latter's
resignation,
is
unfortunate
because
it is
likely
to
reverse
the
little
progress
achieved
so far
and make
an
already
very bad
situation
much
worse.
As some
observers
of
Somali
politics
had
predicted,
the
political
alliance
that was
constructed
in
Nairobi
after
more
than two
years of
negotiations
would
not last
long
unless
the key
personalities
were
completely
satisfied
that the
arrangement
was
working
as
intended.
The
Transitional
Federal
Government
(TFG),
which
was
agreed
to by
about
2,000
Somalis
from
across
the
country,
was
meant to
usher in
a new
era, but
this was
not to
be.
The
first
test of
solidarity
among
the TFG
members
came in
June
2006
when the
Union of
Islamic
Courts,
a
coalition
of 11
different
groups,
took
Mogadishu
and
established
their
own
rule.
Sections
of the
Western
Press
and some
Western
governments
immediately
claimed
that
this was
an
al-Qaeda-dominated
administration.
The
Union of
Islamic
Courts
may have
had
radical
Islamists,
but they
were
outnumbered
by those
who were
primarily
concerned
with a
functioning
government
in
Mogadishu.
Although
their
six-month
government
was not
recognised
by any
African
state
except
the
Sudan,
it
enabled
Somalia
to enjoy
normal
life for
the
first
time in
15
years.
The TFG,
which
was
effectively
impotent
at the
time,
maintained
its
unity in
the hope
that the
international
community
would
intervene
and
re-install
it in
office.
The
TFG's
prayers
were
answered
on
Christmas
Eve of
2006
when
Ethiopia,
encouraged
by the
USA,
invaded
Somalia,
defeated
the
Union of
Islamic
Courts
and
handed
nominal
power to
the TFG.
Ethiopian
Prime
Minister
Meles
Zenawi
promised
to
withdraw
his
troops
within
weeks,
but they
are
still
there.
Ethiopia's
continued
occupation
of
Somalia
has
prevented
the
Islamists
from
re-establishing
their
rule,
but it
has also
presented
a major
test for
the
solidarity
of the
TFG.
Many
Somalis
cannot
tolerate
the
Ethiopian
presence
for any
extended
period,
something
which
Kenya,
the
African
Union,
the
United
Nations
and most
diplomats
in
Nairobi
know.
As if
anticipating
what is
happening
in
Mogadishu
now,
Kenyan
Foreign
Minister
Raphael
Tuju
devoted
his
entire
speech
at the
UN
General
Assembly
on
September
26 to
insecurity
in
Somalia.
It was
an
excellent
speech
in which
he
cajoled
the rest
of the
world to
participate
in
establishing
peace in
Somalia.
Said Mr
Tuju:
"All of
us as an
international
community
should
appreciate
that the
Somali
phenomenon,
with no
government
in
place,
is a
danger
not just
to the
neighbouring
countries,
but to
the
whole
world".
To
illustrate
his
claim,
Mr Tuju
cited
various
cases of
piracy
off the
Somali
coast,
which
had
affected
people
from
different
countries.
While it
is true
that
instability
in
Somalia
is a
problem
for the
whole of
Africa
and the
rest of
the
world,
no other
country
has felt
its
impact
more
than
Kenya.
Therefore,
it is
important
that at
a time
like
this the
Kenya
government
should
take
leadership
by
proposing
options
for repa